Drivers & Exposure

What actually moves physical markets — elasticity, the capex cycle, producer groups, inventories, industrial demand and the dollar — and what owning commodity exposure does to a portfolio.

4 units · 16 lessons · 61 min read · plus hands-on practice, at your pace

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Why does a 2% supply shortfall move the price 40%?

Elasticity & Volatility · 3 min read · practitioner

Start the first lesson

Unit 1 Elasticity & Volatility

  1. Why does a 2% supply shortfall move the price 40%? 3 min
  2. Why doesn't demand simply fall to close the gap? 3 min
  3. Which number tells you a market is tight before the price does? 3 min
  4. Why do commodity price spikes usually end themselves? 4 min
Practice Check · Unit 1 A short check · cannot be failed Start

Unit 2 The Supply Side

  1. Why does it take a decade to answer a price signal? 3 min
  2. Why does the industry always seem to build too much, too late? 4 min
  3. What does a producer group actually do to the supply curve? 4 min
  4. How do you size a supply shock without guessing the price? 4 min
Practice Check · Unit 2 A short check · cannot be failed Start

Unit 3 The Demand Side & the Dollar

  1. Why do industrial metals turn before the economy does? 3 min
  2. Why does one country's construction cycle set the copper price? 3 min
  3. What happens to demand when a cheaper substitute wins? 4 min
  4. Why does a stronger dollar usually weigh on commodity prices? 4 min
Practice Check · Unit 3 A short check · cannot be failed Start

Unit 4 Commodities in a Portfolio

  1. Do commodities actually hedge inflation? 5 min
  2. Why does gold behave like no other commodity? 5 min
  3. How reliable is the diversification commodities are sold for? 4 min
  4. What have you learned about what actually moves physical markets? 5 min
Practice Check · Unit 4 A short check · cannot be failed Start

Last Course exam

One exam, the whole course Unlocks when you have read all 16 lessons

Passing it earns the course certificate.