What is the difference between a stop and a plan?
A stop answers exactly one question: when am I wrong? That's a valuable question and a small one. A plan answers all the others, and answers them before capital is committed — which is the only time you can answer them calmly.
What a stop leaves undecided
- The entry trigger — what must happen for the setup to become a trade, as opposed to something you're watching.
- The size, which follows from the stop (Unit 1) and not from enthusiasm.
- Whether the stop moves, when, and by what rule.
- Where profit is taken, in whole or in parts.
- The time stop — how long the trade gets to do something before the capital is better used elsewhere. Most entry premises have an implied horizon; a trade that hasn't moved in twenty bars usually falsified that premise without ever touching the price stop.
- The gap policy — what exposure is carried into scheduled events (Lesson 1 of this unit).
- The total open risk — the sum of (entry − stop) × shares across every open position, with positions that move together counted as one. Unit 1's fraction was per trade. Eight positions each risking 1% is 8% of equity resting on stops, and if the eight are one sector, one index or one currency, a single overnight move can take all eight stops in one session. The account-level limit below acts after that session; this number acts before it.
- The account-level limit — the daily or weekly loss at which trading stops entirely, regardless of how good the next setup looks. This is the only rule that protects against the specific failure of a bad day becoming a catastrophic one.
- The non-price invalidation — what would make you exit even though the stop hasn't been hit, because the reason changed.
Trailing and scaling, priced in R
Both of the popular "manage the winner" techniques change the arithmetic, not just the feel. Using R for the amount risked (formalised next unit): entry $100.00, stop $96.00, so 1R = $4.00.
- Plan A — all out at the target $112.00. Result: +3R.
- Plan B — half out at $108.00 (+2R), trail the remainder. The trail exits at $110.00 (+2.5R). Blended result: 0.5 × 2 + 0.5 × 2.5 = +2.25R.
Holding the whole position to that same trail exit would have returned +2.5R. So on this path, scaling out cost 0.25R and bought a smoother equity curve and an earlier "win." That is a real trade, and it is the typical one: scaling out raises how often trades feel successful and lowers the average size of the successes — which moves expectancy directly.
A trailing stop has the same shape of trade-off. It converts unrealised profit into a floor, and by construction gives back the distance between the high-water mark and the trail. Wide trails keep big winners and give back more; tight trails bank more often and cut runners short.
The pre-mortem
The single highest-value line in any plan is written before entry: "what would make me abandon this trade before the stop is hit?" Answered in advance, it's discipline. Answered mid-trade, it's improvisation wearing discipline's clothes.
Try it now
- Write a six-line plan for a hypothetical trade on the chart below — entry trigger, stop, size, first target, trail rule, time stop — choosing an entry bar somewhere in the middle and writing every line before you look at what the chart does after it.
- Express the stop and the target as R values, then compute the blended result if you took half off at the target and the remainder trailed out halfway between the target and the entry.
- Add the line most plans lack: the account-level daily loss limit at which you'd stop trading, expressed both in dollars and in R. Notice that it's a number, and that you can only choose it while nothing is happening.
Unit done. Next: the math that decides whether any of this adds up to an edge.