How long, on average, do you wait for a bond's money?
Macaulay duration is the present-value-weighted average time until you receive a bond's cash flows. Its unit is years, and it is exactly the balance point of the last lesson's plank. Here is how to compute it, step by step.
The recipe
- List every remaining cash flow and the year it arrives.
- Discount each one at the bond's YTM to get its present value.
- Divide each present value by the bond's price — that's the flow's weight. The weights sum to 1.
- Duration = Σ (weight × year).
The worked example we'll reuse all course
A €1,000 face, 5% annual coupon, 5-year bond, yielding 5% — so it trades at par, €1,000.
- Year 1: €50 → PV €47.62 → weight 4.76% → contributes 0.048 years
- Year 2: €50 → PV €45.35 → weight 4.54% → contributes 0.091 years
- Year 3: €50 → PV €43.19 → weight 4.32% → contributes 0.130 years
- Year 4: €50 → PV €41.14 → weight 4.11% → contributes 0.165 years
- Year 5: €1,050 → PV €822.70 → weight 82.27% → contributes 4.114 years
The present values sum to €1,000 (they must — that's the definition of YTM), and the contributions sum to:
Macaulay duration = 4.55 years
Read what the table is telling you
The final payment carries 82% of the weight, because it contains the principal. That single fact explains why the answer sits so close to 5 years rather than in the middle. It also explains the coupon rule from the last lesson: fatten the coupons and you shift weight out of that last bar and toward the early ones, pulling the balance point in.
Interpretation to keep: for interest-rate purposes, this five-year bond behaves like a single payment 4.55 years away. Duration collapses a messy stream into one honest number.
Two properties that are always true
- For any bond with coupons, duration is strictly less than maturity — some money arrives before the end.
- For a bond with no coupons, duration equals maturity. (That deserves its own lesson, and gets one.)
A convention note
With semiannual coupons, run the identical procedure in half-year periods, discounting at half the annual yield, then divide the answer by 2 to express it in years. Ten periods of a 3%-per-period discount is the same arithmetic in a different unit.
Where this is going
Macaulay duration is a time. What you actually want is a price sensitivity — a percentage move per percentage change in yield. One small adjustment turns one into the other, and that is the next lesson.
Try it now
- Build the table by hand for a 3-year, 4% annual coupon bond yielding 4%. Discount €40, €40 and €1,040, weight them, and sum. You should land close to 2.89 years.
- Now redo it assuming an 8% coupon at the same 4% yield. The duration should come out shorter — confirm the coupon rule with your own arithmetic rather than taking it on trust.
- Now a real portfolio. The chart is five years of the iShares Core US Aggregate Bond ETF (AGG), and every move on it is a yield change seen through duration. The table gives the fund's own figures: its duration and the average maturity of its bonds. The fund states modified duration, the next lesson's measure, which sits a little below Macaulay. Set the duration beside the average maturity and say out loud what the gap means: "the average dollar in this portfolio arrives in about N years, well before its bonds mature."